UK Immigration Law
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The only person that can answer this question with absolute authority would be a UK Visa/ Immigration Solicitor. If none is available then I wouldn't waste your time. It would be sheer guesswork without the Solicitor.
Based on everything YOU know. What would YOU do?
In addition, to help me decide whether to roll the dice, what % of people are 'turned back' and denied entry with criminal records such as mine?
And if declined entry what happens next?
Do they pay for my return flight?
Do I need to pay for my return flight which would be astronomic at the last minute?
Do I get to appeal to another agent in the airport and then sit down to discuss my specific situation?
Since my wife will be with me, what is the likelihood that they will break us apart and allow her in and send me home?
If I read you right, a visa does not add much to the entry process. Again, if I read you right, it depends on the 'mood' of the EOC.
What % of individuals WITH a visa are denied entry as opposed to the % without a visa?