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Probability of overbooking in a...

Probability of overbooking in a maternity hotel at different levels of occupancy:

Inputs:

# XXXXX 13, target occupancy is 76%, but I'd like to see the results at different levels eg 40%, 50%, 60%, 70%, 76%, 80% etc.

Difference between due date (when people book) and delivery date (when they need the room is a bell curve, with standard deviation of 13 days. 68.2% will deliver within 1 sd either side of their due date, and 4.2% within 2 sd either side. Ignore the rest.

Average length of stay is 4 nights

I would really like to see the calculations in a spreadsheet.

Inputs:

# XXXXX 13, target occupancy is 76%, but I'd like to see the results at different levels eg 40%, 50%, 60%, 70%, 76%, 80% etc.

Difference between due date (when people book) and delivery date (when they need the room is a bell curve, with standard deviation of 13 days. 68.2% will deliver within 1 sd either side of their due date, and 4.2% within 2 sd either side. Ignore the rest.

Average length of stay is 4 nights

I would really like to see the calculations in a spreadsheet.

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