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Yes, they are not considered moved out until they return they keys and vacate the property. If this was not done and you had no notice that they had "moved out" then the October 31 day would be in effect or any day prior that you had proper notice that they had officially moved out. Moving out is when they no longer have access to the property. If this was never done (return the keys or give proper notice that they had moved out) then you had no reason to know that they vacated the property and thus the court would take into account the proper move out day which would have been the 31st. The tenant will need to have evidence that they returned the keys and vacated the property with proper notice to assert the defense that you did not itemize your damage amounts in the statutory time allotted.
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Until he returns his set of keys then he is not moved out. Written notice would also suffice but if the tenant still has access to the house, he would still be considered the tenant. By not returning the keys or giving written notice, they did not relinquish control of the property. Especially considering the fact that they continued to enter the property. Without this formality they should not be able to claim that their move out date was earlier. You did not ever get the keys so until you entered the property and changed the locks, they would technically still be a tenant and would owe rent.
I would still think that without the keys being turned in, that they had fully been moved out. It will be up to the Judge and he will have to weigh the evidence. I can really give you no concrete answer except that they would be considered to be moved out when they gave up physical possession of the property. There is a decent argument that if they turned in a set of keys and still was to turn in another set and they were still in and out of the property that they had not yet given up possession. Again this will be a question of fact for the Judge.
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