List a real-world probability problem for your peers to solve.

Resolved Question:

List a real-world probability problem for your peers to solve. Your peers will have the opportunity to work your problem and receive feedback from you as the discussion progresses. Be sure to go back and respond to those who solved your problem or who need help with solving it.

Here's an example of a real-world probability problem.

In my city there's typically a baseball game 2 days out of 5. If there's a ball game, it takes me over an hour to get home from work 70% of the time. If there's no ball game, it takes me over an hour to get home from work 20% of the time. On any given day - without knowing the game schedule - what's the probability that it'll take me over an hour to get home from work?

And the solution:

40% chance of a baseball game * 70% probability = 0.28 60% chance of no baseball game * 20% probability = 0.12

Adding them together, using the addition rule, gives 0.40%

So in general there's a 40% chance of a long commute.

Kind regards, Susan

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